{"id":7303,"date":"2011-10-06T11:21:37","date_gmt":"2011-10-06T15:21:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/collideascape\/?p=7303"},"modified":"2011-10-06T11:21:37","modified_gmt":"2011-10-06T15:21:37","slug":"the-climate-war-meme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/?p=7303","title":{"rendered":"The Climate War Meme"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> 
<a href="https://forgive123.com/directions-to-headquarters/">https://forgive123.com/directions-to-headquarters/</a> In a column published today, a scholar challenges the legitimacy of the climate security frame and suggests it is distracting from the real climate concerns that need to be addressed.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://ramedicare.com/modified-power-yoga-routine/">Diazepam Online Purchase</a> But before I get to that, some quick background. In recent months, a flurry of highly publicized papers have explicitly linked climate change to war and civil turmoil. If you&#8217;ve been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsecuritybeat.org\/2011\/10\/el-nino-conflict-and-environmental.html\" target=\"_blank\">keeping score<\/a>, you know that this research is controversial and seemingly contradictory. And that the associated climate link derives from natural weather cycles and temperature swings, not man-made global warming. Let&#8217;s briefly recap.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://dinoeliadis.com/business-plan/"></a> In August, a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v476\/n7361\/full\/nature10311.html\" target=\"_blank\">study<\/a> published in Nature <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/2011\/110824\/full\/news.2011.501.html\" target=\"_blank\">found<\/a> that<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://alpineinterface.com/canadian-rockies-classic/"></a> Tropical countries face double the risk of armed conflict and civil war breaking out during warm, dry El Ni\u00c3\u00b1o years than during the cooler La Ni\u00c3\u00b1a phase of the El Ni\u00c3\u00b1o\/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)&#8230;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://disneycruisinggroup.com/planning/">https://disneycruisinggroup.com/planning/</a> The\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v476\/n7361\/full\/nature10311.html\" target=\"_blank\">abstract<\/a>\u00a0of the paper declared:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://dentalprovidence.com/payment/">https://dentalprovidence.com/payment/</a> This result, which indicates that ENSO may have had a role in 21% of all civil conflicts since 1950, is the first demonstration that the stability of modern societies relates strongly to the global climate.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://theroyalstagproperties.com/contact-5/">Buy Xanax Online Without Prescription</a> A result like that garnered much media attention (see\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/health-science\/study-links-el-nino-weather-events-with-civil-wars-in-tropical-countries\/2011\/08\/23\/gIQAMq07bJ_story.html\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/environment\/2011\/aug\/24\/el-nino-cycle-deadly-conflict?intcmp=122\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>, for example), but the study was also heavily <a href=\"http:\/\/www.edwardrcarr.com\/opentheechochamber\/2011\/08\/25\/conflict-and-el-nino-how-did-this-get-through-peer-review\/\" target=\"_blank\">criticized<\/a> by some scholars. \u00a0At the same time, the news prompted <a href=\"http:\/\/ecocentric.blogs.time.com\/2011\/08\/24\/does-el-nino\"\u201dand-climate-change\"\u201dreally-cause-civil-wars\/\" target=\"_blank\">constructive<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.foreignpolicy.com\/articles\/2011\/08\/29\/cloudy_with_a_chance_of_insurgency?page=0,0\" target=\"_blank\">assessments<\/a> of the state of the research on the climate\/war linkage. Unsurprisingly, a study connecting civil conflict to warmer weather led <a href=\"http:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article.cfm?id=el-nino-found-to-influence-civil-wars\" target=\"_blank\">some<\/a> to infer:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://prosthodontistlasvegas.com/stages-of-dental-implants/">Order Zopiclone Online</a> That could be bad news as the global climate is changing in a generally warmer direction thanks to increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide, in the atmosphere.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://growthjourneytherapy.com/team/"></a> Some major related news came several days ago, with the publication of this PNAS <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/early\/2011\/09\/29\/1104268108.full.pdf+html\" target=\"_blank\">paper<\/a>, which concludes<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://rgprincipal.com/chile/">https://rgprincipal.com/chile/</a> that climate change was the ultimate cause of human crisis in pre-industrial societies.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="http://masterfacilitator.com/eqicertifiedtrainers/">http://masterfacilitator.com/eqicertifiedtrainers/</a> But in this case, the culprit is colder weather. Specifically, the researchers assert:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://dinoeliadis.com/generations-carpet-cleaning/">Buy Alprazolam No Prescription</a> Results show that cooling from A.D. 1560&#8243;\u201c1660 caused successive agro-ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic catastrophes, leading to the General Crisis of the Seventeenth Century.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://castlehomecomfort.com/plumbing-maintenance/">https://castlehomecomfort.com/plumbing-maintenance/</a> Unsurprisingly, some who like to point out every blizzard or cold snap as a supposed refutation of global warming\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/tomnelson.blogspot.com\/2011\/10\/remarkably-sane-article-in-science-warm.html\" target=\"_blank\">have seized<\/a> on this study.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://castlehomecomfort.com/toilet-repair/"></a> Now there is a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/08\/09\/science\/earth\/09climate.html?_r=2&amp;th&amp;emc=th\" target=\"_blank\">new lens<\/a>\u00a0to view all this research on climate change and war. It&#8217;s known as climate security, and I&#8217;ve <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/climate\/2009\/0912\/full\/climate.2009.120.html\" target=\"_blank\">written<\/a> about it previously on <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/2010\/05\/03\/climate-wars-2\/\" target=\"_blank\">numerous<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/2010\/05\/06\/the-climate-security-conundrum\/\" target=\"_blank\">occasions<\/a>. I think it&#8217;s fair to say that environmental scholars are ambiguous about the emergence of climate security as a call to action. For example, here&#8217;s some <a href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/web-edition\/op-eds\/avoid-hyperbole-oversimplification-when-climate-and-security-meet\" target=\"_blank\">cautionary advice<\/a>\u00a0that one such expert offered in 2009.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://blackhillsballoons.com/contact-us/">https://blackhillsballoons.com/contact-us/</a> Today, another scholar jumps into the climate change = conflict debate with some fresh concerns. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iied.org\/climate-change\/staff\/corinne-schoch\" target=\"_blank\">Corinne Schoch<\/a>, a researcher with the London-based <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iied.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">International Institute for Environment and Development<\/a>, writes in this\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/piece.pdf\">piece<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="http://www.amandasatoz.com/?page_id=1322"></a> Over the past five years, climate change has moved from being a purely environment and development issue to being a matter of national and international security.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://worklivelaos.com/atms/"></a> For years we have understood that civil wars generally\u00a0break out as a result of political instability, a poor\u00a0national economy, weakened infrastructures and, in\u00a0the case of African states, the collapse of the Cold War.\u00a0Now it seems that environmental shocks can be added\u00a0to that list &#8220;\u201d journalists, academics, policymakers,\u00a0security institutions and heads of states repeatedly tell\u00a0us that the impacts of climate change pose a grave\u00a0security threat.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://www.secpeinvestments.com/contact/">Xanax Buy Without Prescription</a> As a result, the idea that prolonged heat waves, rising\u00a0sea levels, more variable climates and more frequent\u00a0disasters such as cyclones or droughts will result in\u00a0more civil conflicts has taken firm root in the public&#8217;s\u00a0imagination. The popular belief that climate change will\u00a0soon spark &#8220;\u02dcwater wars&#8217; between water-scarce regions\u00a0and countries is just one example.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://dentalprovidence.com/dental-sealants/">Buy Clonazepam Without Prescription</a> But while the notion that climate change could lead\u00a0to conflict is widespread, it is based on very little\u00a0evidence and questionable sources. The debate tends\u00a0to be characterised by conjecture, extrapolations and a\u00a0limited set of facts that make assumptions about how\u00a0the climate will change in years to come, and how\u00a0people will respond &#8220;\u201d for example, that increased\u00a0climate variability automatically causes inter- and\u00a0intrastate migration, or that a drop in rainfall\u00a0led to the Darfur crisis. The links between what causes\u00a0conflict have been simplified.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://andiroberts.com/resourcehub/"></a> The truth is that there are, as yet, no concrete examples of violent conflicts induced by climate change, and a limited understanding of what the future holds.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://raceflowdevelopment.com/gallery/">https://raceflowdevelopment.com/gallery/</a> This is a shot across the bow to proponents of the climate security frame. And it comes not from a political partisan or climate skeptic, but from a scholar whose expertise is the climate change\/security nexus. In her piece, Schoch argues that the climate security rationale<\/p>\n<blockquote><p> 
<a href="https://www.andrewplimmer.com/ghost-commerce/">Order Tramadol Online</a> risks sidelining or missing out completely issues such as\u00a0adaptation, mitigation, development, economic growth,\u00a0equity, justice and resilience, which do not \u00ef\u00ac\u0081gure as\u00a0priorities on the security agenda but which are integral\u00a0to addressing climate change.<\/p>\n<p> 
<a href="https://theroyalstagproperties.com/accommodations/"></a> In today&#8217;s world &#8220;\u201d \u00ef\u00ac\u0081lled with talk about &#8220;\u02dchuman-induced climate change&#8217;, &#8220;\u02dccompensation&#8217;, &#8220;\u02dcresponsibility&#8217;\u00a0and &#8220;\u02dcglobal justice&#8217; &#8220;\u201d it is also important to ask\u00a0ourselves to what extent the reframed climate-security\u00a0debate is tackling the real drivers of climate change.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> 
<a href="https://disneycruisinggroup.com/stateroom-photos/">Buy Alprazolam No Prescription</a> I look forward to hearing the answers she gets from the community of scholars and advocates who have helped put the issue of climate security front and center in the climate debate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> 
<a href="http://masterfacilitator.com/belbinteamroles360/">Buy Ativan Online Without Prescription</a> In a column published today, a scholar challenges the legitimacy of the climate security frame and suggests it is distracting from the real climate concerns that need to be addressed. But before I get to that, some quick background. In recent months, a flurry of highly publicized papers have explicitly linked climate change to war&#8230;<span> <a href="https://rgprincipal.com/contact-colombia/">Vicodin Online Purchase</a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/?p=7303\">Continue Reading&#8230;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2553,2562],"tags":[835,852],"class_list":["post-7303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change","category-climate-security","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-security"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7303\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.keithkloor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}